11
Malice Bleue
4yo Filly · 0-0
Marseille · Prix De Montolivet - Attele · 1m 5f 38y
#3
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Salon-De-Provence | P Repichet | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-17 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | P Repichet | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-03 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | J Ch Feron | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Lyon-Parilly | P Repichet | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Marseille-borely | P Repichet | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | P Repichet | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 8-15 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2024 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/10/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 23/11/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 11/01/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 17/02/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 03/03/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |