4
Miss Fleur
4yo Filly · 0-0
Marseille · Prix De Montolivet - Attele · 1m 5f 38y
#15
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-18 | Lyon La Soie | G Touron | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-03-10 | Lyon La Soie | B Ruet | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Lyon La Soie | B Ruet | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-02-02 | Saint Galmier | D Bekaert | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-01-18 | Lyon La Soie | Th Briand | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-01-11 | Lyon La Soie | Th Briand | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 5-12 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength46%
Delivery trend +11.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 18/01/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 02/02/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 10/03/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 18/02/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |