4
Nora D'houlbec
3yo Filly · 0-0
Marseille · Prix Des Gardians - Attele · 1m 5f 38y
#8
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Marseille-borely | N Mortagne | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | N Mortagne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | N Mortagne | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-24 | Marseille-borely | N Mortagne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +15.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 16/10/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |