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17:15 · Newcastle

AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery

1m 5yStandardClass 52YO onlyALLWEATHERHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick
OR 73
13/8
Pequenita silks

Newsells Park Stud - Bloodstock 24

Pequenita

2yo Filly · 9-7 · Draw 4

Dubawi - Sibila Spain (Frankel)

P J McDonald10%0/1A M Balding60%Synergy 75
43222
7.0
Going 74Course 0

Fair form with 3 consecutive runner-up finishes since switching to nurseries, including her best effort on all-weather at Kempton in September. Looks sure to go well once more.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/069/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par21/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 74Course · 0Dist: 1m 5y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 63%10/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%9/07Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 75%17/08Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%5/09Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%21/09
Projected finish1st of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-276/100
2
OR 73
8/1
Astral Crown silks

Barbara & Alick Richmond

Astral Crown

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 1

Naval Crown - Freedom's Light (Galileo)

Mark Winn10%D O'Meara60%Synergy 39
534
5.0
Going 71Course 0

Best effort when third of 8 over this trip at Southwell on all-weather in August but wasn't in the same form when fourth of 9 in a novice at Pontefract 36 days ago. Hopes pinned on the return to all-weather for nursery debut.

Class Advantage

13/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/076/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/0824/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength67%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 71Course · 0Dist: 1m 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%13/07Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 71%6/08Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 63%24/09
Projected finish2nd of 5
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
75%1-360/100
5
OR 69
12/1
Zirconic silks

Waters & Owen

Zirconic

2yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 5

Showcasing - Simplicity (Casamento)

K Stott40%H Palmer90%Synergy 50
5489
3.0
Going 11Course 0
1st Visor +2

Best effort came when fourth at Leicester in September but has disappointed in 2 runs since. Now makes nursery debut with first-time visor applied and progress required.

Class Advantage

21/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/088/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0926/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/0914/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/10 · mark par14/10projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼2
Strength85%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 11Course · 0Dist: 1m 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%21/08Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 57%8/09Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 13%26/09Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 11%14/10
Projected finish3rd of 5
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%2-552/100
4
OR 72
7/2
Xochipilli silks

Laurence Bellman & Partner

Xochipilli

2yo Colt · 9-6 · Draw 2

Blue Point - Diantha (Dansili)

Jonny Peate10%D M Loughnane60%Synergy 11
434
6.0
Going 77Course 0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Fair form when made frame all 3 starts over 7f, including when fourth of 13 in nursery at Kempton 30 days ago, hampered after 3f but keeping on well late. Steps up to 1m with first-time cheekpieces applied and could take a step forward.

Class Advantage

22/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/084/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0930/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/09 · mark par30/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 77Course · 0Dist: 1m 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 73%22/08Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 83%4/09Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 75%30/09
Projected finish4th of 5
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
25%1-535/100
1
OR 75
85/40
Lady Caroline Lamb silks

Miss K Rausing

Lady Caroline Lamb

2yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 3

Study Of Man - Aventuriere (Archipenko)

Jason Hart10%C JohnstonSynergy 36
3175
5.0Class ↓4
Going 54Course 0

Won at Beverley in June over 7.5f then finished seventh in listed company at Sandown. Shaped better than the result suggests when fifth of 7 in a nursery at Kempton 16 days ago after a 12-week break and could be a serious player with that outing under her belt.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0623/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/0623/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par23/0714/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/10 · mark par14/10projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼2
Strength96%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 54Course · 0Dist: 1m 5y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%10/06Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%23/06Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 14%23/07Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 33%14/10
Projected finish5th of 5
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%1-273/100