From The Hip
3yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 4 · OR 77
Newmarket · Prestige Vehicles Handicap (Div 1) · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Goodwood | Tyler Heard | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-10-05 | Kempton | Tyler Heard | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Kempton | Tyler Heard | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | Tyler Heard | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Haydock | Tyler Heard | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-19 | Kempton | Tyler Heard | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 14/10/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 30/10/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 19/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 08/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 26/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 05/10/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 11/10/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |