9
Izzy Fast
4yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 3 · OR 73
Newmarket · Prestige Vehicles Handicap (Div 1) · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Yarmouth | Jack Callan | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Yarmouth | H Crouch | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Yarmouth | H Crouch | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Yarmouth | George Wood | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newmarket | S De Sousa | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Yarmouth | S De Sousa | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 28/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength74%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 9th | 300/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/11/2025 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 28/04/2026 | 1st | 50/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 16/05/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 11% | -0.31 |
| 28/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 12/10/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |