2

Sixtygeesbaby
4yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 7 · OR 81
Newmarket · Prestige Vehicles Handicap (Div 1) · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
72%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Redcar | Mark Winn | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Doncaster | C J Whiteley | 4 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Ffos Las | L Morris | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Carlisle | Mark Winn | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Nottingham | D Tudhope | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | York | D Tudhope | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 40/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength75%
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 16/05/2026 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 26/06/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 43% | -0.44 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 13/09/2026 | 16th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 15/09/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 85% | +0.24 |