6
Space Party
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 5 · OR 77
Newmarket · Prestige Vehicles Handicap (Div 1) · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Newmarket | Nicola Currie | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-10-05 | Kempton | Nicola Currie | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Southwell | Nicola Currie | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Windsor | Tom Marquand | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Doncaster | Nicola Currie | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 53/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength89%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 85% | +0.58 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 05/10/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 88% | +0.32 |
| 22/10/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 82% | +0.27 |