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7

Underwriter

3yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 2 · OR 76

Newmarket · Prestige Vehicles Handicap (Div 1) · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won maiden/novice events over 6f at Ayr for Archie Watson last summer. Bounced back to form on second run for new yard with Ascot fourth in July. Had little luck in the run when ninth of 15 in handicap at Goodwood (6f, good to firm) 38 days ago. On a handy mark now sporting a first-time visor.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength75%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 9.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 14/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 92 · 6f101y Sft 125 · below its mark14/08/2025 · OR 92 par14/08C5OR 922 @ Sandown 24/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 91 · 5f10y Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 91 par2 @ York 13/06/2026 · Pos 20th of 22 · OR 90 · 6f Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 90 par13/062OR 903 @ Newmarket 10/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 87 · 5f GF 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 87 par2 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 84 · 5f GF 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 84 par25/072OR 842 @ York 19/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 19 · OR 84 · 5f Goo 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 84 par2 @ Ascot 05/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 82 · 5f Goo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 82 par5/092OR 824 @ Yarmouth 16/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 78 · 6f3y Goo 136 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Goodwood 23/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 136 · beat its mark23/09/2026 · OR 78 par23/094OR 78projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23GoodwoodH Crouch49th9th0
2026-09-16YarmouthDarragh Keenan46th6th0
2026-09-05AscotJack Doughty211th9th+2
2026-08-19YorkL Morris214th12th+2
2026-07-25AscotJack Doughty24th2nd+2
2026-07-10NewmarketK S McHugh311th10th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0810/075/0923/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength61%

Delivery trend +6.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20259th5/174%38%-0.35
24/04/20268th10/147%13%-0.35
13/06/202620th80/10%10%+0.10
10/07/202611th100/10%9%+0.09
25/07/20264th100/10%75%+0.75
19/08/202614th18/15%28%+0.23
05/09/202611th28/10%9%+0.09
16/09/20266th14/126%55%+0.28
23/09/20269th14/126%43%+0.17