10

Dashing Dick

8yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 3 · OR 65

Newmarket · Prestige Vehicles Handicap (Div 2) · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

78%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Signed off 2025 with success in this race from 9 lb higher and looks to be coming to the boil at just the right time, finding a well handicapped, subsequent winner too strong at Leicester (6f) 18 days ago. On a good mark and he ought to make a bold bid.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength23%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Pontefract 02/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 75 · 6f Goo 131 · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 75 par2/064OR 754 @ Newmarket 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 73 · 7f Goo 128 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 73 par4 @ Newmarket 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 73 · 6f GF 128 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 73 par4/074OR 734 @ Newmarket 18/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 72 · 6f GF 132 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Newmarket 06/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 70 · 1m GF 139 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 70 par6/085OR 704 @ Newmarket 20/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 68 · 7f Goo 131 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Yarmouth 17/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 67 · 1m3y Gd 137 · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 67 par17/095OR 676 @ Leicester 06/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 65 · 7f Goo 140 · beat its mark06/10/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Leicester 13/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR 65 · 6f GS 133 · beat its mark13/10/2026 · OR 65 par13/105OR 65projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-13LeicesterK Shoemark52nd3rd−1
2026-10-06LeicesterJack Dace62nd4th−2
2026-09-17YarmouthJ Mitchell55th6th−1
2026-08-20NewmarketRob Hornby44th4th0
2026-08-06NewmarketTaryn Langley56th7th−1
2026-07-18NewmarketCieren Fallon45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0618/0717/0913/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength86%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/06/20268th28/10%13%+0.13
19/06/20263rd11/142%78%+0.36
04/07/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
18/07/20265th9/153%43%-0.10
06/08/20266th8/158%17%-0.41
20/08/20264th16/116%67%+0.51
17/09/20265th5/174%69%-0.04
06/10/20262nd3/184%89%+0.05
13/10/20262nd5/174%94%+0.20