9
Harry's Halo
6yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 9 · OR 73
Newmarket · Prestige Vehicles Handicap (Div 2) · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Haydock | J Mitchell | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-09-08 | Leicester | J Mitchell | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-31 | Epsom Downs | S C Cronin | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Carlisle | William Pyle | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Doncaster | Oliver Stammers | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Doncaster | J Mitchell | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-9 · tight 50/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 18/07/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 15/10/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 25/10/2025 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 21% | +0.16 |
| 29/03/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 16/10/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 38% | -0.04 |