1

Star Chorus

4yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 2 · OR 81

Newmarket · Prestige Vehicles Handicap (Div 2) · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Struggled on turf over the summer but landed a gamble returned to all-weather when winning a 10-runner handicap at Kempton (6f, 15/8) 26 days ago. Up 3 lb but suspicion is that might've been the time to catch him.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength53%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Goodwood 22/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 87 · 5f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 87 par22/053OR 872 @ Epsom Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 15th of 20 · OR 87 · 5f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 87 par4 @ Windsor 27/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 86 · 6f12y GF 142 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 86 par27/064OR 863 @ Newmarket 10/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 85 · 5f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 85 par3 @ Windsor 27/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 84 · 6f12y GF 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 84 par27/073OR 842 @ Windsor 10/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 83 · 6f12y GF 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 83 par4 @ Southwell 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 81 · 6f17y Std 136 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 81 par3/094OR 814 @ Goodwood 23/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 80 · 6f Goo 140 · below its mark23/09/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Kempton 05/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 78 · 6f Sta 135 · beat its mark05/10/2026 · OR 78 par5/104OR 78projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-05KemptonP J Dobbs41st1st0
2026-09-23GoodwoodRob Hornby412th12th0
2026-09-03SouthwellDarragh Keenan44th4th0
2026-08-10WindsorRob Hornby211th9th+2
2026-07-27WindsorRob Hornby36th5th+1
2026-07-10NewmarketC Lee36th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0510/073/095/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 81/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength98%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/05/20268th33/10%22%+0.22
06/06/202615th66/10%26%+0.26
27/06/20265th66/10%56%+0.56
10/07/20266th18/15%55%+0.49
27/07/20266th25/10%58%+0.58
10/08/202611th33/10%33%+0.33
03/09/20264th10/147%73%+0.25
23/09/202612th25/10%21%+0.21
05/10/20261st15/890%100%+0.10