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8

Venture Capital

5yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 5 · OR 74

Newmarket · Prestige Vehicles Handicap (Div 2) · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Useful 5f winner in 2025 but hasn't been the same force despite a sliding mark this season, not seeing his race out when eighth of 11 in handicap at Newcastle (5f) 2 weeks ago. Afforded another 2 lb drop now but others boast more solid claims.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength54%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Catterick 18/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 90 · 5f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 90 par18/102OR 903 @ Newcastle 06/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 89 · 5f Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/02/2026 · OR 89 par3 @ Southwell 04/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 88 · 4f214y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/03/2026 · OR 88 par4/033OR 883 @ Newcastle 27/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 86 · 6f1y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 86 par3 @ Beverley 15/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 84 · 5f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 84 par15/043OR 842 @ Hamilton 01/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 82 · 5f7y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 82 par4 @ Ripon 01/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 79 · 6f Sft 139 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 79 par1/094OR 793 @ Doncaster 13/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 77 · 5f3y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Newcastle 16/10/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 76 · 5f Std 131 · beat its mark16/10/2026 · OR 76 par16/104OR 76projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-16NewcastleShane Gray48th8th0
2026-09-13DoncasterK Stott35th4th+1
2026-09-01RiponShane Gray44th4th0
2026-08-01HamiltonShane Gray29th7th+2
2026-04-15BeverleyShane Gray38th7th+1
2026-03-27NewcastleShane Gray311th10th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/1027/031/0916/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 57/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength49%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/10/20253rd9/276%80%+0.04
06/02/20268th15/261%46%-0.14
04/03/20267th9/276%33%-0.43
27/03/202611th14/126%23%-0.03
15/04/20268th12/137%22%-0.15
01/08/20269th33/10%20%+0.20
01/09/20264th17/255%57%+0.02
13/09/20265th12/137%73%+0.36
16/10/20268th11/271%30%-0.41