7

Wodao

6yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 10 · OR 75

Newmarket · Prestige Vehicles Handicap (Div 2) · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Revitalised in a switch of headgear when recording back-to-back victories at Redcar/Yarmouth and just seemed caught out by the drop to 5f when fourth in hat-trick bid at Leicester (5f, heavy) 5 days ago. Clearly taking his racing well and return to 6f can see him in a better light.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength30%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 26/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 77 · 6f16y Std 130 · beat its mark26/11/2025 · OR 77 par26/114OR 775 @ Kempton 10/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 75 · 6f Sta 135 · beat its mark10/12/2025 · OR 75 par5 @ Chelmsford City 02/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 72 · 7f Std 131 · below its mark02/01/2026 · OR 72 par2/015OR 725 @ Wolverhampton 19/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 69 · 6f20y Std 134 · beat its mark19/01/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Wolverhampton 01/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 67 · 6f20y Std 132 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 67 par1/065OR 676 @ Thirsk 14/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 64 · 6f Gd 139 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 64 par5 @ Redcar 16/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 62 · 5f217y Gd 130 · beat its mark16/10/2026 · OR 62 par16/105OR 626 @ Yarmouth 20/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 62 · 6f3y Sft 140 · beat its mark20/10/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Leicester 26/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 69 · 5f Sft 135 · beat its mark26/10/2026 · OR 69 par26/105OR 69projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-26LeicesterDavid Probert54th5th−1
2026-10-20YarmouthD Egan61st3rd−2
2026-10-16RedcarCieren Fallon51st2nd−1
2026-09-14ThirskD C Costello66th8th−2
2026-06-01WolverhamptonD C Costello59th10th−1
2026-01-19WolverhamptonCallum Shepherd56th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1119/0116/1026/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength90%

Delivery trend +1.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/11/20254th11/142%50%+0.08
10/12/20255th12/137%50%+0.13
02/01/20269th7/163%0%-0.63
19/01/20266th25/10%44%+0.44
01/06/20269th40/10%27%+0.27
14/09/20266th9/153%50%-0.03
16/10/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
20/10/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
26/10/20264th15/890%50%-0.40