Godwinson
6yo Gelding · 10-1 · Draw 13 · OR 96
Newmarket · Dusseldorf's Henkel 169 German Oaks Handicap · 1m
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 7.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | David Probert | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | George Bass | 2 | 18th | 17th | +1 |
| 2026-05-14 | York | George Bass | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Ascot | Cieren Fallon | 2 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Curragh | D Tudhope | BHA104 | 14th | 23th | −7 |
| 2025-08-01 | Goodwood | Tom Marquand | 2 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2024 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 47% | +0.42 |
| 29/03/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 26/06/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/08/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 30/08/2025 | 14th | 3/1 | 84% | 7% | -0.77 |
| 18/10/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 14/05/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 17/06/2026 | 18th | 125/1 | 0% | 37% | +0.37 |
| 31/07/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |