Rogue Millions
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 14 · OR 88
Newmarket · Dusseldorf's Henkel 169 German Oaks Handicap · 1m
#14
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Nottingham | L Morris | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-16 | Yarmouth | Harry Davies | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | Daniel Muscutt | 2 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Carlisle | Rossa Ryan | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Ascot | Harry Davies | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-07-18 | Hamilton | L Morris | 1 | 7th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 14th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 30/05/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 25/06/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 18/07/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 06/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 36% | -0.37 |
| 25/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 16/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 14/10/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |