1

Accumulation

2yo Colt · 9-3 · Draw 5

Newmarket · Hurworth Bloodstock Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3) · 7f

#14

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 12-runner maiden (5/2) at Leopardstown (7f, good) on debut 14 days ago, driven clear. Bengal Tiger has to be considered his top yard's first string but this son of Wootton Bassett has the potential for plenty of improvement.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲7
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 9.9 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 17/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f Goo 13117/10C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-17LeopardstownWayne Lordan?1st10th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength54%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/10/20261st5/287%100%+0.13