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2

Bengal Tiger

2yo Colt · 9-3 · Draw 9 · OR 107

Newmarket · Hurworth Bloodstock Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3) · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Highly progressive sort who impressed when pulling 3½ lengths clear in 6f Doncaster listed race (heavy) last Saturday. Likely to stay 7f and the one to beat with further progress likely.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲6
Strength3%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -5.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 19 · OR - · 6f Goo 1339/08C8C8 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 5f205y Yie 13117/09C8C8 @ Naas 11/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f205y Sft 13111/10C81 @ Doncaster 24/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 6f2y Hvy 12924/101projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-24DoncasterR L Moore11st1st−0
2026-10-11NaasR L Moore?1st10th−7
2026-09-17NaasJ Cleary?2nd11th−7
2026-08-09CurraghJ Cleary?12th21th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0817/0911/1024/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength77%

Delivery trend -12.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/202612th50/10%39%+0.39
17/09/20262nd6/168%91%+0.22
11/10/20261st2/999%100%+0.01
24/10/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05