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3

City Of Gold

2yo Colt · 9-3 · Draw 10 · OR 97

Newmarket · Hurworth Bloodstock Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3) · 7f

#13

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up twice in maidens prior to producing a useful effort to make a successful nursery debut at Leopardstown (8.5f, good) 14 days ago. Won't need to advance his form much more to be very competitive at this level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 11.7 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 1318/07C8C8 @ Galway 27/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 7f Yie 13127/07C8C8 @ Galway 08/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 1m98y Sft 1338/09C8BHA91 @ Leopardstown 17/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 91 · 1m100y Goo 139 · beat its mark17/10/2026 · OR 91 par17/1091OR 91
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-17LeopardstownWayne LordanBHA911st11th−9
2026-09-08GalwayWayne Lordan?2nd11th−7
2026-07-27GalwayWayne Lordan?2nd11th−7
2026-07-08FairyhouseWayne Lordan?5th14th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0727/078/0917/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 6-15 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength16%

Delivery trend +8.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/20265th4/179%43%-0.36
27/07/20262nd7/163%86%+0.23
08/09/20262nd4/797%75%-0.22
17/10/20261st13/891%100%+0.09