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5

Golden Souk

2yo Colt · 9-3 · Draw 3

Newmarket · Hurworth Bloodstock Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3) · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

11/8, won 7-runner novice at Redcar (7f, good to soft) on debut 38 days ago. That form is nothing special but interesting that powerful stable is prepared to pitch him in a Group race second time up.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Redcar 23/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 7f Gd 13323/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23RedcarP Mulrennan31st4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength72%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/09/20261st11/893%100%+0.07