Green Sovereign
2yo Colt · 9-3 · Draw 1 · OR 95
Newmarket · Hurworth Bloodstock Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3) · 7f
#12
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Sandown | Kaiya Fraser | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Newmarket | Tom Marquand | 1 | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | Tom Marquand | 1 | 8th | 8th | −0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Pontefract | Kaiya Fraser | 2 | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Kempton | Kaiya Fraser | 4 | 5th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 17/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |