7

Jassas

2yo Colt · 9-3 · Draw 11 · OR 106

Newmarket · Hurworth Bloodstock Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3) · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dubawi colt who has won 7f novices at Doncaster (good to firm) and Haydock (soft). Only beaten 4½ lengths when last of 5 to Darkness Falls in Dewhurst over C&D (good to firm) a fortnight ago so that was a very useful effort. Bang there with a repeat of that form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Doncaster 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f6y GF 13323/0731 @ Deauville 16/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12516/0813 @ Haydock 25/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f212y Sft 13525/0931 @ Newmarket 10/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 92 · 7f Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/10/2026 · OR 92 par10/101OR 92projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-10NewmarketBilly Loughnane15th5th+0
2026-09-25HaydockToby Moore31st4th−2
2026-08-16DeauvilleW Buick15th5th0
2026-07-23DoncasterW Buick31st4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0716/0825/0910/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-15 · tight 21/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength46%

Delivery trend +7.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
16/08/20265th2/189%0%-0.89
25/09/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
10/10/20265th25/10%0%0.00