7

Jassas
2yo Colt · 9-3 · Draw 11 · OR 106
Newmarket · Hurworth Bloodstock Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3) · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Newmarket | Billy Loughnane | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Haydock | Toby Moore | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | W Buick | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Doncaster | W Buick | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-15 · tight 21/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength46%
Delivery trend +7.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 25/09/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 10/10/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |