6

Ruby Sands
2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 2 · OR 75
Newmarket · British Stallion Studs EBF Montrose Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' Listed) · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Southwell | Charles Bishop | 3 | 2nd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-09-26 | Newmarket | Tom Marquand | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Newbury | J Mitchell | 4 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 8-11 · tight 66/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength2%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 26/09/2026 | 3rd | 85/40 | 89% | 78% | -0.11 |
| 10/10/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |