6

Ruby Sands

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 2 · OR 75

Newmarket · British Stallion Studs EBF Montrose Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' Listed) · 1m

#10

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair form when placed in 3 maiden/novice events but a good deal more will be needed here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 23/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f110y GF 12823/0742 @ Newmarket 26/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f GF 12826/0923 @ Southwell 10/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 76 · 7f14y Std 128 · beat its mark10/10/2026 · OR 76 par10/103OR 76projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-10SouthwellCharles Bishop32nd5th−2
2026-09-26NewmarketTom Marquand23rd4th−1
2026-07-23NewburyJ Mitchell43rd7th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0726/0910/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 8-11 · tight 66/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength2%

Delivery trend +1.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20263rd7/163%67%+0.04
26/09/20263rd85/4089%78%-0.11
10/10/20262nd7/282%88%+0.06