7

Sizzling Affair
2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 5
Newmarket · British Stallion Studs EBF Montrose Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' Listed) · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Haydock | S H James | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 50/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength77%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |