7

Sizzling Affair

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 5

Newmarket · British Stallion Studs EBF Montrose Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' Listed) · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Readily justified strong market support (11/10) on 7f Haydock debut (soft) 36 days ago, pulling 3½ lengths clear of reopposing Trapped Goddess (won since). Looks yet another useful prospect for her powerful stable.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Haydock 25/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f212y Goo 12825/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25HaydockS H James31st4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 50/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength77%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/09/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06