8

So Lovely

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 1 · OR 106

Newmarket · British Stallion Studs EBF Montrose Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' Listed) · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Regally-bred filly who made it third time lucky over 7f at Leopardstown in August. Useful effort when 1¾ lengths fifth of 12 to Green Empress in Group 1 Prix Marcel Boussac at Longchamp (1m, good) 27 days ago. The chief form threat to stablemate Haven.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength29%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m Goo 12816/07C82 @ Goodwood 30/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 7f Goo 12830/072C8 @ Leopardstown 20/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 7f Goo 12820/08C81 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS29/0811 @ ParisLongchamp 04/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS4/101projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-04ParisLongchampColin Keane15th4th+1
2026-08-29CurraghR L Moore16th6th+0
2026-08-20LeopardstownWayne Lordan?1st10th−7
2026-07-30GoodwoodR L Moore22nd3rd−1
2026-07-16LeopardstownWayne Lordan?2nd11th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0730/0720/0829/084/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 44/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength86%

Delivery trend +6.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20262nd6/168%80%+0.12
30/07/20262nd4/797%92%-0.05
20/08/20261st2/598%100%+0.02
29/08/20266th11/893%44%-0.48
04/10/20265th28/10%64%+0.64