11
Trapped Goddess
2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 10 · OR 81
Newmarket · British Stallion Studs EBF Montrose Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' Listed) · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength15%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Redcar | David Probert | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-09-25 | Haydock | David Probert | 3 | 2nd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 11-11 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -75.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 16/10/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |