Francophone
5yo Mare · 9-1 · Draw 4 · OR 100
Newmarket · German Group One Racecourses James Seymour Stakes (Listed) · 1m 2f
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Newmarket | Oisin Murphy | 1 | 6th | 6th | +0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Newmarket | Laura Pearson | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | Oisin Murphy | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | C Soumillon | 1 | 11th | 11th | +0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Curragh | W Buick | 1 | 10th | 10th | +0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Newmarket | Jason Hart | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 08/07/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 26/09/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 24/05/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 18% | +0.02 |
| 17/06/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 09/10/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 62% | -0.04 |