Grey Cuban
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 8 · OR 110
Newmarket · German Group One Racecourses James Seymour Stakes (Listed) · 1m 2f
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
77%
Place Prob
60%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | York | David Probert | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Ayr | Saffie Osborne | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-12 | Chester | O J Orr | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Doncaster | Rossa Ryan | 2 | 16th | 17th | −1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Doncaster | Jason Hart | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-11 | York | Jason Hart | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +11.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2025 | 17th | 13/2 | 66% | 6% | -0.60 |
| 30/08/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 18% | -0.08 |
| 13/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 08/11/2025 | 16th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 10/10/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |