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5

Sea Scout

4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 9 · OR 108

Newmarket · German Group One Racecourses James Seymour Stakes (Listed) · 1m 2f

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

40/1-winner of listed Blue Riband Trial at Epsom last April. Has drawn a blank since but has posted some smart performances, including second of 4 in Haydock Group 3 on reappearance in August. Respectable fifth in 11.5f Windsor listed race since. Possibilities.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength50%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.7
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Epsom Downs 22/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m2f17y Gd 12922/0411 @ York 15/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 105 · 1m2f56y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/05/2025 · OR 105 par1 @ Epsom Downs 07/06/2025 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR 105 · 1m4f6y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/06/2025 · OR 105 par7/061OR 1051 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 105 · 1m1f212y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2025 · OR 105 parC1 @ Deauville 17/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 104 · 1m1f207y GS 130 · beat its mark17/08/2025 · OR 104 par17/08C1OR 104C1 @ Saint-Cloud 12/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 104 · 1m3f204y Ver 125 · beat its mark12/09/2025 · OR 104 par1 @ Newbury 25/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 106 · 1m4f Sft 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 106 par25/101OR 1061 @ Haydock 08/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 107 · 1m2f42y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 107 par1 @ Windsor 29/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 108 · 1m3f99y Sft 133 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 108 par29/081OR 108projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29WindsorHarry Davies15th5th0
2026-08-08HaydockJames Doyle12nd2nd+0
2025-10-25NewburyJames Doyle13rd3rd+0
2025-09-12Saint-CloudM Guyon?3rd3rd0
2025-08-17DeauvilleM Barzalona?4th4th0
2025-06-19Royal AscotHarry Davies16th6th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0419/0625/1029/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-9 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength50%

Delivery trend -7.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/04/20251st40/10%100%+1.00
15/05/20258th25/10%30%+0.30
07/06/202511th125/10%41%+0.41
19/06/20256th66/10%55%+0.55
17/08/20254th16/116%57%+0.41
12/09/20253rd10/147%71%+0.24
25/10/20253rd22/10%75%+0.75
08/08/20262nd11/142%67%+0.25
29/08/20265th7/163%43%-0.20