4
Seacruiser
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 1 · OR 100
Newmarket · German Group One Racecourses James Seymour Stakes (Listed) · 1m 2f
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲2
Strength3%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Ascot | Rossa Ryan | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Thirsk | Rossa Ryan | 3 | 3rd | 6th | −2 |
| 2024-09-26 | Newmarket | Rossa Ryan | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2024-09-03 | Goodwood | Rossa Ryan | 2 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +20.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2024 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 56% | -0.31 |
| 26/09/2024 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |