Biscaysian
2yo Colt · 9-8 · Draw 7 · OR 74
Newmarket · Idee 158. German Derby In Hamburg Nursery · 1m 1f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bath | Jack Callan | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-24 | Windsor | H Crouch | 2 | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-08-02 | Yarmouth | Tom Marquand | 2 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -31.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 55% | -0.30 |