6

Dancing Dunes

2yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 1 · OR 71

Newmarket · Idee 158. German Derby In Hamburg Nursery · 1m 1f

#8

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Torquator Tasso colt who has shaped with encouragement on all his 3 runs, fourth of 6 in maiden at Haydock (1m, soft) 35 days ago. Can do better for good yard on handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength86%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Sandown 29/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS29/0733 @ Haydock 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f212y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/0933 @ Haydock 26/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 7f212y Hvy 128 · HIGHER CLASS26/093projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26HaydockCallum Rodriguez34th2nd+2
2026-09-03HaydockCharles Bishop35th3rd+2
2026-07-29SandownEdward Greatrex35th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/073/0926/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 55/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +23.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/07/20265th14/126%20%-0.06
03/09/20265th9/276%50%-0.26
26/09/20264th22/10%40%+0.40