
Dancing Dunes
2yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 1 · OR 71
Newmarket · Idee 158. German Derby In Hamburg Nursery · 1m 1f
#8
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Haydock | Callum Rodriguez | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-09-03 | Haydock | Charles Bishop | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-29 | Sandown | Edward Greatrex | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +23.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 26/09/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |