High Calibre
2yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 8 · OR 71
Newmarket · Idee 158. German Derby In Hamburg Nursery · 1m 1f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
28%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Bath | S M Levey | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-16 | Beverley | Alec Voikhansky | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Newmarket | Joe Leavy | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Wolverhampton | Joe Leavy | 3 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-29 | Ffos Las | S D Bowen | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Brighton | Joe Leavy | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 17% | +0.11 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 16/09/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 19/10/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |