Princess Lottie
2yo Filly · 9-9 · Draw 5 · OR 75
Newmarket · Idee 158. German Derby In Hamburg Nursery · 1m 1f
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Nottingham | K Stott | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-09-04 | Haydock | Cieren Fallon | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-07-17 | Newmarket | P Cosgrave | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Newmarket | Jack Gilligan | 3 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -17.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/07/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 01/10/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |