10

Daydreama

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 18 · OR 77

Newmarket · Munich's Allianz-Grosser Preis Von Bayern Handicap · 7f

#13

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

On a long losing run but back to form with sixth of 17 in handicap at Leicester (7f, good) 18 days ago, twice hampered. Needs to reproduce it now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Carlisle 30/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 90 · 7f173y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 90 par30/052OR 903 @ York 13/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 19 · OR 89 · 7f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 89 par3 @ Chester 27/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 88 · 7f1y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 88 par27/063OR 883 @ Doncaster 18/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 86 · 7f6y GF 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 86 par3 @ Ripon 27/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 83 · 1m Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 83 par27/073OR 832 @ York 21/08/2026 · Pos 15th of 19 · OR 84 · 7f192y GS 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 84 par4 @ York 06/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 19 · OR 83 · 7f192y GS 135 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 83 par6/094OR 833 @ Hamilton 28/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 81 · 1m68y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/09/2026 · OR 81 par3 @ Leicester 13/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR 78 · 7f GS 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/10/2026 · OR 78 par13/103OR 78projClass-projected finish: 9th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-13LeicesterD Allan36th5th+1
2026-09-28HamiltonD Allan312th11th+1
2026-09-06YorkAlfie Redman412th12th0
2026-08-21YorkJ P Sullivan215th13th+2
2026-07-27RiponD Allan33rd2nd+1
2026-07-18DoncasterD Fentiman38th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0518/076/0913/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 7-18 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength34%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/20269th22/10%38%+0.38
13/06/202613th22/10%33%+0.33
27/06/20267th16/116%14%-0.02
18/07/20268th40/10%13%+0.13
27/07/20263rd11/271%50%-0.21
21/08/202615th22/10%22%+0.22
06/09/202612th40/10%39%+0.39
28/09/202612th25/10%8%+0.08
13/10/20266th22/10%69%+0.69