7
Kennington
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 4 · OR 79
Newmarket · Munich's Allianz-Grosser Preis Von Bayern Handicap · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
33%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Newmarket | Rob Hornby | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-23 | Goodwood | Tom Marquand | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Windsor | Saffie Osborne | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Newbury | David Probert | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lingfield | David Probert | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Lingfield | Charles Bishop | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-17 · tight 29/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength97%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 02/07/2026 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 23% | -0.48 |
| 29/08/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 23/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 22/10/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |