13

Stellar Vision

3yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 13 · OR 74

Newmarket · Munich's Allianz-Grosser Preis Von Bayern Handicap · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Landed 7f Wolverhampton novice in January and close third on handicap debut at Newmarket in April. However, below form since, eighth of 12 in handicap at Yarmouth (6f, good) last month. Hood goes on for the first time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 31/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 6f Gd 13031/1044 @ Wolverhampton 02/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 7f36y Std 1242/0144 @ Newmarket 14/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 78 · 7f Gd 133 · beat its mark14/04/2026 · OR 78 par14/044OR 784 @ Newmarket 02/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 79 · 7f GF 134 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 79 par2/054OR 794 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 20th of 20 · OR 79 · 7f Goo 134 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 79 par23/054OR 794 @ Epsom Downs 14/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 78 · 6f3y Goo 134 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 78 par14/084OR 784 @ Yarmouth 16/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 76 · 6f3y Goo 134 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 76 par16/094OR 76projClass-projected finish: 18th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16YarmouthKaiya Fraser48th8th0
2026-08-14Epsom DownsP Cosgrave46th6th0
2026-05-23YorkSean Kirrane420th20th0
2026-05-02NewmarketMarco Ghiani411th11th0
2026-04-14NewmarketMarco Ghiani43rd3rd0
2026-01-02WolverhamptonMarco Ghiani41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/102/0516/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 11-18 · tight 69/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/10/20253rd22/10%50%+0.50
02/01/20261st4/998%100%+0.02
14/04/20263rd6/168%83%+0.15
02/05/202611th4/179%0%-0.79
23/05/202620th25/10%0%0.00
14/08/20266th20/10%29%+0.29
16/09/20268th11/142%36%-0.06