Supreme Clarets
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 15 · OR 72
Newmarket · Munich's Allianz-Grosser Preis Von Bayern Handicap · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Southwell | O McSweeney | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-22 | Beverley | Warren Fentiman | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Beverley | O J Orr | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | Warren Fentiman | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Chester | J F Egan | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Carlisle | Warren Fentiman | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 70% | +0.65 |
| 21/05/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 27% | -0.46 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 22/09/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 08/10/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |