5
Tex
5yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 17 · OR 78
Newmarket · Munich's Allianz-Grosser Preis Von Bayern Handicap · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
50%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Ascot | Mr Simon Walker | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Ascot | Miss Brodie Hampson | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Brighton | P Cosgrave | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Goodwood | P Cosgrave | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Ascot | P Cosgrave | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Kempton | Harry Vigors | 5 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 5-18 · tight 48/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 27/05/2026 | 12th | 13/2 | 66% | 15% | -0.50 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 29/07/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 68% | -0.00 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 02/10/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 59% | -0.25 |