8

Cur Non

4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 67

Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f

#10

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength13%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Oaklawn Park 27/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f Slo 11427/04C9C6 @ Lone Star 17/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 63 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/05/2025 · OR 63 parC6 @ Lone Star 31/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 72 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/05/2025 · OR 72 par31/05C6OR 72C8 @ Remington Park 11/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 77 · 7f Fas 118 · below its mark11/09/2025 · OR 77 parC8 @ Oaklawn Park 20/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 73 · 6f 117 · beat its mark20/02/2026 · OR 73 par20/02C8OR 73C8 @ Oaklawn Park 03/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 67 · 6f 124 · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 67 parC6 @ Oaklawn Park 02/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 70 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 70 par2/05C6OR 70C8 @ Remington Park 13/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 69 · 5f Fas 122 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 69 par13/09C8OR 69projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Remington ParkRamon Vazquez?6th6th0
2026-05-02Oaklawn ParkWalter De La Cruz?12th10th+2
2026-04-03Oaklawn ParkRamon Vazquez?1st1st0
2026-02-20Oaklawn ParkRamon Vazquez?1st1st0
2025-09-11Remington ParkIram Diego?3rd3rd0
2025-05-31Lone StarErnesto Valdez Jiminez?4th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0411/092/0513/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · tight 75/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -9.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20254th11/271%70%-0.01
17/05/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
31/05/20254th16/116%40%+0.24
11/09/20253rd7/282%78%-0.04
20/02/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
03/04/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
02/05/202612th10/147%0%-0.47
13/09/20266th10/147%0%-0.47