3

Marquee Lady
5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 73
Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼2
Strength69%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 5 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Remington Park | David Cabrera | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-13 | Will Rogers Downs | Ronnie Huckaby | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-03-16 | Will Rogers Downs | Ronnie Huckaby | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-02-24 | Will Rogers Downs | Ronnie Huckaby | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-01-12 | Will Rogers Downs | Iram Diego | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-12-11 | Remington Park | Iram Diego | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 6-10 · tight 70/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 17/10/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 30/11/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 11/12/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 12/01/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 24/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 16/03/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 13/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 20/09/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 25% | -0.69 |