1
Miss Arlington
6yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 78
Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Remington Park | Erik Asmussen | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Remington Park | Erik Asmussen | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Oaklawn Park | Keith Asmussen | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-04-04 | Oaklawn Park | Keith Asmussen | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Oaklawn Park | Keith Asmussen | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Oaklawn Park | Keith Asmussen | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 40/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 05/11/2025 | 6th | 5/6 | 96% | 0% | -0.96 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 08/02/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 21/02/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/04/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 17/04/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 15/10/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |