9

Raspberry Martini

4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 9 · OR 79

Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f

#8

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Remington Park 14/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 81 · 5f Fas 115 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/11/2025 · OR 81 par14/11C5OR 81C8 @ Remington Park 19/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 81 · 6f Fas 116 · below its mark19/12/2025 · OR 81 parC5 @ Will Rogers Downs 09/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/02/2026 · OR 76 par9/02C5OR 76C5 @ Will Rogers Downs 03/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 74 · 5f110y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/03/2026 · OR 74 parC8 @ Will Rogers Downs 10/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 78 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark10/03/2026 · OR 78 par10/03C8OR 78C5 @ Will Rogers Downs 13/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/04/2026 · OR 75 parC8 @ Remington Park 13/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 77 · 5f Fas 122 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 77 par13/09C8OR 77C8 @ Remington Park 27/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 81 · 5f Fm 120 · below its mark27/09/2026 · OR 81 parC0 @ Remington Park 17/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f Fas 12017/10C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-17Remington ParkGeovanni Franco?5th5th0
2026-09-27Remington ParkGeovanni Franco?4th4th0
2026-09-13Remington ParkJose Alvarez?5th5th0
2026-04-13Will Rogers DownsTravis Cunningham?1st-2th+3
2026-03-10Will Rogers DownsTravis Cunningham?3rd3rd0
2026-03-03Will Rogers DownsLeandro Goncalves?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/113/0313/0917/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength80%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/11/20256th12/137%38%+0.01
19/12/20253rd9/153%60%+0.07
09/02/20264th3/184%25%-0.59
03/03/20264th9/153%25%-0.28
10/03/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10
13/04/20261st25/10%100%+1.00
13/09/20265th10/147%20%-0.27
27/09/20264th13/266%40%-0.26
17/10/20265th40/10%43%+0.43