Saltwater Taffy
5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 88
Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Remington Park | Iram Diego | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Remington Park | Ramon Vazquez | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Lone Star | David Cabrera | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Sam Houston Race Park | Iram Diego | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-03-21 | Sam Houston Race Park | Iram Diego | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-01-17 | Sam Houston Race Park | Ramon Vazquez | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2025 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 89% | -0.08 |
| 19/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 89% | -0.03 |
| 08/11/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 17/01/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 63% | -0.23 |
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 27/09/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |