Smart Okie
6yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 7 · OR 80
Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | Remington Park | Alfredo Jr Triana | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Remington Park | Ramon Vazquez | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Remington Park | Ramon Vazquez | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Remington Park | Adrian Morales | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Remington Park | Jose Alvarez | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Remington Park | Jose Alvarez | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 14/04/2025 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 05/05/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 09/08/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 23/08/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 21/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 17/10/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 15/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |