5

Forged With Fyre

2yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 5 · OR 60

Remington Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

63%

Place Prob

49%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼3
Strength85%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Canterbury Park 23/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 4f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS23/07C6C6 @ Remington Park 22/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 64 · 5f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 64 par22/08C6OR 64C6 @ Remington Park 18/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 66 · 5f110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 66 par18/09C6OR 66C6 @ Remington Park 18/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 62 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/10/2026 · OR 62 par18/10C6OR 62projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-18Remington ParkIsaiah Wiseman?7th4th+3
2026-09-18Remington ParkFernando Jara?5th2nd+3
2026-08-22Remington ParkFernando Jara?7th4th+3
2026-07-23Canterbury ParkEduardo Gallardo?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0722/0818/0918/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 82/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +30.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20264th11/271%50%-0.21
22/08/20267th5/174%33%-0.40
18/09/20265th20/10%60%+0.60
18/10/20267th20/10%45%+0.45