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2

Gospel Larry

2yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 2 · OR 35

Remington Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼3
Strength86%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Remington Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 5f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS19/09C6C6 @ Remington Park 04/10/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 40 · 5f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/10/2026 · OR 40 par4/10C6OR 40projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-04Remington ParkEmanuel Zabala?8th5th+3
2026-09-19Remington ParkAngel Stanley?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/094/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 8-8 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -44.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/09/20266th25/10%44%+0.44
04/10/20268th25/10%0%0.00