7
Ambaya
4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 7 · OR 103
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Goldikova Stakes - Grade 3 · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲4
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 2.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: -3.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Santa Anita | Kazushi Kimura | ? | 1st | 1st | +0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Del Mar | Umberto Rispoli | ? | 4th | 10th | −5 |
| 2025-10-30 | Del Mar | Oisin Murphy | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2025-09-27 | Delaware Park | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2025-07-17 | Colonial Downs | Ben Curtis | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2025-06-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Gavin Ashton | ? | 1st | 8th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 52/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength78%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 17/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 27/09/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 30/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 25/11/2025 | 4th | 2/5 | 98% | 70% | -0.28 |
| 29/12/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |