2
As Catch Can
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 101
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Goldikova Stakes - Grade 3 · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲4
Strength27%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: -3.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Santa Anita | Joel Rosario | ? | 9th | 9th | +0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Colonial Downs | Jaime Torres | BHA102 | 1st | 13th | −10 |
| 2025-07-20 | Del Mar | Vincent Cheminaud | ? | 6th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-05-18 | Santa Anita | Kazushi Kimura | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-03-22 | Turfway Park | L Dettori | BHA94 | 2nd | 13th | −9 |
| 2025-02-09 | Santa Anita | Umberto Rispoli | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength26%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2024 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |
| 03/11/2024 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 05/12/2024 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 09/02/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 22/03/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |
| 18/05/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 20/07/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 06/09/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 29/12/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |