5

Bojaca Blessing
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 102
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Goldikova Stakes - Grade 3 · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲4
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: -4.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Del Mar | Mike Smith | ? | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Del Mar | Hector Berrios | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | Leonel Reyes | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-05-10 | Churchill Downs | Irad Ortiz Jr | ? | 8th | 13th | −4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Gulfstream | Jorge Ruiz | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-02-21 | Gulfstream | Irad Ortiz Jr | ? | 3rd | 9th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 82/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 07/06/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 11/07/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 89% | +0.31 |
| 10/05/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 36% | -0.32 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 08/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |